Article
Stuck With An Underperforming Investment Property? Decide This Week
Underperforming investment property? Use this fast, numbers‑first framework to decide whether to hold, refinance, renovate or sell, and what to do next.
Key Takeaway
Owners should reassess underperforming investment properties using three tests: cashflow resilience, realistic growth potential, and opportunity cost versus other uses of equity. With negative gearing benefits set to tighten from 1 July 2027, investors should model decisions on pre-tax cashflow and a 3% interest rate stress test. If a property fails these tests, refinancing structure, targeted renovation, or selling and redeploying capital can materially improve long-term wealth; a decision-grade review can usually be done in a week.
An underperforming investment property is one that fails three tests: 1) sustainable cashflow under a 3% rate rise, 2) reasonable growth prospects, and 3) stacking up against other uses of your equity and energy. If it fails on most of these, you should actively consider refinancing, renovating, or selling rather than just hoping the market bails you out.
Here’s a decision framework you can work through this week.
Laying out hold, renovate and sell side by side turns vague frustration into a clear decision.
Step 1: Define “underperforming” in your numbers
Before you jump to sell or renovate, quantify the problem.
1. Cashflow test (post‑2027 mindset)
Model the property on pre‑tax numbers assuming little or no wage‑offset negative gearing on established dwellings from 1 July 2027.
Include per year:
- Rent (after vacancy, say 3–4 weeks per year)
- Interest (stress‑test at +3% above current rate)
- Other costs: strata, rates, insurance, maintenance, land tax, management
If you’re running more than about $5,000–$10,000 per year negative with a 3% rate buffer and no tax benefit, the asset needs a strong growth or add‑value story to justify keeping it.
2. Growth potential test
Ask honestly:
- Is the area’s population and job base growing or flat?
- Are there major infrastructure or zoning changes coming?
- Is there a structural issue (oversupply of similar units, flood/flight path, tired complex) that caps demand?
If growth has lagged the broader city for 5–10 years and nothing material is changing, don’t assume the next decade will be different.
3. Opportunity cost test
Estimate your net equity if you sold:
Example: Property worth $850,000, loan $550,000, selling costs/CGT say $80,000 → usable equity around $220,000.
Now ask: could that $220,000 perform better as:
- A deposit on a different investment, or
- Debt reduction on your home, or
- Cash buffer + business growth capital?
If the answer is “almost certainly yes”, you have an underperformer.
The strategy continues below
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Frequently asked questions
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